Packers: Why Mike McCarthy Should Go for 2 Every Time

There has been a lot of talk about the two-point conversion lately. And after Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin said he was considering going for two every time with quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, Green Bay Packers head coach Mike McCarthy is now considering doing the same thing with Aaron Rodgers.

Here’s why he absolutely should, as crazy as it might sound.

Last season, the Packers were very good at converting the two-point play. In the six times they attempted it, they were successful on four of them, which is a rate of 66 percent. Throughout the entire NFL, teams converted it an average of 49 percent of the time.

The thinking of going for two goes like this, if you convert more than 50 percent of your conversions that it’s a success. IF you convert 51 percent of your two-pointers for the season, you will have score more points overall thank by kicking the extra point each time.

Pittsburgh, who has an elite quarterback just like Green Bay has with Rodgers, converted 8-of-11 attempts in 2015, which was good enough for a a mark of 72.7 percent.

Certainly, if a team tried if every time it scored a touchdown, that number would go down, but it’s reasonable to assume a team like the Packers could convert close to 60 percent of the time thanks to the throwing accuracy and all-around playmaking ability of Rodgers, just like with the Steelers and Big Ben.

In terms of extra points, team converted them at a rate of 94 percent last season. So with last season’s 49 percent average in two-point conversion rates, teams that elected two go for two more last season, definitely saw some benefit.

Even if the Packers converted it a rate of 55 percent, they would have scored a few more points last season and while that may not sound like a lot, an extra point or two sure would have come in handy against Arizona or even against Minnesota or Detroit in the losses at home by four points and two points.

The other nice thing is it can put pressure on other teams to try it that may not be as efficient. I watched games last season in which the Steelers jumped out to a 16-0 lead.

And even if you miss the first one or two, chances are, you will likely get the next couple just based on the law of averages.

Here’s what McCarthy had to say about the issue following Packers mini-camp practice:

“Personally, I definitely agree with Ben and Drew (Brees). I think especially with Aaron being our quarterback, I would have zero issue as an offensive coach going for it every single time,” McCarthy added on Wednesday.

Had the Packers adopted this strategy a year ago, maybe they would have won that heartbreaking Arizona playoff game outright.

Being great means being bold and with one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL, it would prove worthwhile for McCarthy to be bold when it comes to the two-point conversion.

chris peterson

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2 Comments
Robster

If the Pack commits to it, I think they could keep scoring at more than a 60% rate. I’d put Jordy and Janis out wide, Abbrederis in the slot, and Cook at TE. Jordy owns the back-shoulder and sideline moves. Janis is the quickest and most explosive, and has a great catch radius. Abbrederis is quick and has great moves. Cook is a better blocker than Richard Rodgers, though Richard would also do, as he has the best hands. I’m a firm believer that the most unstoppable short yardage play is the”leap” by a big RB. It’s not in vogue anymore, and it takes some courage, but I’ve seen Lacy execute it a couple times–once landing 3 yards in the end zone. Though he lacks spring, he has the bulk and momentum to make this work 75% of the time.

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chris peterson

Yea I think it would work really well. I do think that the Packers would be really successful at it and I would love if MM would adopt that strategy.

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